Daily Morning Call

From the Floor: All eyes on the Powell powwow – #SaxoStrats

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Monday morning and the market's attention is fixed squarely on Wednesday's FOMC meeting where Jay Powell will make his debut as Fed chairman. Expectations ahead of the event include a near-certain rate-hike and also that Powell will lean as hawkish as possible to optimise his room for manoeuvre in future policy setting.
  • USD and JPY gain as pre-FOMC nerves loom over the market
  • GBP: Focus on whether UK can win a transition period deal at EU summit
  • JPY: rally extends on political focus and general risk-off tone
  • Gold and silver down ahead of Fed meeting
  • Corn and soy becoming a pain trade for many recently established longs
  • Crude oil remains stuck with rising US production being offset by robust demand 
  • US yield curve risks further flattening if Powell mentions a 4th rate hike